Pre-tourney Rankings
Cal St. Fullerton
Big West
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.5#268
Expected Predictive Rating-6.2#259
Pace71.2#145
Improvement-4.5#327

Offense
Total Offense-2.3#226
First Shot-1.7#231
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#225
Layup/Dunks-3.1#302
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#70
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#232
Freethrows+1.4#85
Improvement-0.6#212

Defense
Total Defense-4.3#287
First Shot-4.3#298
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#178
Layups/Dunks+1.9#99
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#200
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#330
Freethrows-2.0#303
Improvement-3.9#336
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 208   @ Loyola Marymount L 74-79 27%     0 - 1 -5.2 -7.8 +3.2
  Nov 17, 2015 218   @ Pacific W 77-76 28%     1 - 1 +0.4 +2.6 -2.2
  Nov 21, 2015 263   San Diego W 67-55 60%     2 - 1 +2.8 +0.6 +3.4
  Nov 24, 2015 342   @ Southern Utah W 80-66 68%     3 - 1 +2.5 -7.4 +8.8
  Nov 28, 2015 141   Nevada W 75-66 30%     4 - 1 +7.8 +0.5 +6.6
  Dec 04, 2015 292   @ Seattle W 70-61 47%     5 - 1 +3.3 -4.3 +7.3
  Dec 06, 2015 56   @ Washington L 69-87 5%     5 - 2 -5.3 -5.9 +2.9
  Dec 12, 2015 208   Loyola Marymount L 70-82 48%     5 - 3 -18.0 -4.5 -13.9
  Dec 18, 2015 57   Oregon St. L 69-82 8%     5 - 4 -3.6 +2.8 -6.7
  Dec 19, 2015 203   Portland L 60-65 36%     5 - 5 -7.8 -17.3 +9.6
  Dec 29, 2015 259   @ Portland St. L 82-89 37%     5 - 6 -10.2 -2.0 -7.5
  Jan 07, 2016 234   @ UC Riverside W 79-73 31%     6 - 6 1 - 0 +4.6 +6.7 -2.1
  Jan 09, 2016 238   Cal St. Northridge L 75-85 54%     6 - 7 1 - 1 -17.5 -10.9 -5.3
  Jan 16, 2016 68   Hawaii L 79-86 OT 14%     6 - 8 1 - 2 -1.8 +2.4 -3.5
  Jan 20, 2016 98   @ UC Irvine L 59-72 9%     6 - 9 1 - 3 -4.5 -3.4 -2.1
  Jan 23, 2016 204   Cal Poly L 75-83 47%     6 - 10 1 - 4 -13.7 -2.2 -11.6
  Jan 27, 2016 235   @ UC Davis L 64-69 32%     6 - 11 1 - 5 -6.6 -1.5 -5.3
  Jan 30, 2016 234   UC Riverside L 71-81 53%     6 - 12 1 - 6 -17.3 -3.3 -14.1
  Feb 04, 2016 235   UC Davis W 61-57 53%     7 - 12 2 - 6 -3.4 -10.8 +7.3
  Feb 06, 2016 104   @ UC Santa Barbara L 68-81 10%     7 - 13 2 - 7 -5.1 +1.2 -6.5
  Feb 10, 2016 238   @ Cal St. Northridge L 67-75 32%     7 - 14 2 - 8 -9.7 -10.8 +1.6
  Feb 13, 2016 68   @ Hawaii L 59-76 6%     7 - 15 2 - 9 -5.9 -9.8 +4.7
  Feb 17, 2016 98   UC Irvine L 77-96 19%     7 - 16 2 - 10 -16.3 +9.9 -26.9
  Feb 20, 2016 108   @ Long Beach St. L 57-70 11%     7 - 17 2 - 11 -5.8 -10.3 +4.1
  Feb 25, 2016 204   @ Cal Poly W 78-77 26%     8 - 17 3 - 11 +1.1 +9.5 -8.3
  Feb 27, 2016 104   UC Santa Barbara L 62-80 21%     8 - 18 3 - 12 -16.0 -4.3 -12.9
  Mar 02, 2016 108   Long Beach St. L 73-75 23%     8 - 19 3 - 13 -0.6 -2.4 +1.9
  Mar 10, 2016 68   Hawaii L 44-75 9%     8 - 20 -22.9 -21.7 -2.4
Projected Record 8.0 - 20.0 3.0 - 13.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13 100.0% 100.0
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%